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PIM Centre completes training of 23 Officers in Economic Appraisal and Stakeholder Analysis

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Approximately 23 officials from different Ministries, Departments and Agencies (MDAs), as well as from the Civil Society have completed training in the Program on Investment Appraisal and Risk Analysis (PIAR). The trainees received training in Basic Public Investment Management (PIM), Financial and Risk Analysis and finally Economic Appraisal and Stakeholder Analysis. The training culminated in the award of Certificates jointly awarded by Makerere University, Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (MoFPED) and Cambridge Recourses International.

The two-weeks training, which took place in Mbarara attracted participants from Ministries, Agencies, Academia and the Civil Sector. Speaking during the closing ceremony, Prof. Eria Hisali, the Principal of the College of Business and Management Sciences where the PIM Centre of Excellence is hosted, said the Centre aims at creating a pool of experts who can write proposals and approve public investments.

He cautioned the public officers to clearly identify projects that can deliver economic growth and also encouraged them to work together. He said the Centre would organize an experience sharing workshop to do an M&E on all the trainees to see how effectively they are utilizing the acquired knowledge. He informed participants that the University Senate had approved the proposed PIM Masters, “Masters in Economic and Investment Modeling,” and encouraged them to apply once the program is approved by the National Council for Higher Education. He said the Centre was also in the process of drafting a Post Graduate Diploma in Public Investment Management. Prof. Hisali appreciated the Ministry of Finance, Planning, and Economic Development for providing financial support to the Centre as well as CRI and NPA for the partnership in training.

Makerere University Public Investment Management Centre of Excellence (PIM CoE), Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (MoFPED) and Cambridge Recourses International two-week training in the Program on Investment Appraisal and Risk Analysis (PIAR), 22nd April-6th May 2024, Mbarara Uganda, East Africa.

Dr. Willy Kagarura, the Centre’s manager said he was confident that the knowledge given to the participants will go a long way in ensuring they write the accurate investment proposals for the government to review.

He emphasized the importance of equipping individuals with the necessary skills to make informed investment decisions which will ultimately contribute to the economic development of the Country. Dr. Willy also highlighted the practical nature of the training, ensuring that participants are well-prepared for real-world scenarios in investment modeling.

Ms. Gertrude Aerone Basiima, the Assistant Commissioner of the Project Analysis and Public Investment Department emphasized the importance of the training, saying the goal of a project appraisal is to prevent bad projects from going ahead and good projects from being rejected. “This training is therefore aimed at ensuring that all stakeholders including Public Officials, Private Sector and Civil Society analysts develop and appraise investment projects in order to promote the economic and social wellbeing of the country,” she said.

Makerere University Public Investment Management Centre of Excellence (PIM CoE), Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (MoFPED) and Cambridge Recourses International two-week training in the Program on Investment Appraisal and Risk Analysis (PIAR), 22nd April-6th May 2024, Mbarara Uganda, East Africa.

She said the training arose out of the needs assessment that identified critical gaps by Officers in different MDAs with regard to undertaking Cost Benefit Analysis, Cost Effectiveness Analysis, preparation and cross-examination of pre-feasibility and feasibility studies.

“I hope that the training you have attained during the last 3 training sessions has equipped you with skills to conduct and review feasibility studies by putting into considerations the different perspectives of Banker/Lender, Project Owner, Country and Distribution of Externalities. While you are undertaking project development and appraisal, please remember these perspectives,” Ms Basiima said.  Ms Basiima emphasized the importance of considering various perspectives during project development and appraisal to ensure a comprehensive feasibility study. She encouraged participants to apply the skills acquired in the training sessions to conduct thorough analyses and make informed decisions.

She further appreciated the dedicated faculty team comprised of CRI resource persons, Hassan and Christiania. The Ugandan Faculty consisting of Dr. Willy Kagarura, Prof. Edward Bbaale, Dr. John Sseruyage, Dr. Vincent Ssajjabi, Dr. Ibrahim Mike Okumu, Dr Ibrahim Mukisa, and Mr. Edwin Sentumbwe from Makerere University PIM CoE, Mr. Musimeta Hannington from NPA and, Mr. Ahaisibwe Joseph and herself from MoFPED

Makerere University Public Investment Management Centre of Excellence (PIM CoE), Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development (MoFPED) and Cambridge Recourses International two-week training in the Program on Investment Appraisal and Risk Analysis (PIAR), 22nd April-6th May 2024, Mbarara Uganda, East Africa.

On his part, Mr. Hannington Musimenta, one of the faculty members from the National Planning Authority, emphasized the importance of the study, saying the NDPIII evaluation showed that the Country performed only to the tune of 17% because of poor projects. With this training and knowledge acquired by the different public officers, he was positive that the implementation of projects in NDP IV would be more successful and impactful leading to greater development outcomes for Uganda.

As part of the training, the team visited one government project in Kiruhura and Mbarara District titled the Reconstruction of Kyeshema Earth Dam. The dam was reconstructed to supply water to the cattle corridor during the dry seasons. The participants were able to evaluate a real-world project in relation to the theory obtained during training.  

The training was opened on April 22, 2024, by the Director of the PIM Centre of Excellence, Prof. Edward Bbaale, who called on the trainees to fully engage in the training sessions and actively participate in discussions to maximize their learning experience. He emphasized the importance of applying the knowledge gained to their work in order to achieve tangible results and make a difference in their workplaces. The director also highlighted the significance of networking and collaboration among participants, as this would foster a supportive environment for sharing best practices and innovative ideas. “By fostering a culture of continuous learning and knowledge exchange, the training program aims to empower individuals to drive sustainable development in Uganda”. He appreciated the MoFPED for the financing of the training and the nomination of the right people to train. The director emphasized the importance of participants actively engaging in discussions and practical exercises during the training sessions to maximize their learning experience. Additionally, he encouraged participants to take advantage of the resources and support provided by the program to implement their new skills and knowledge effectively in their respective roles.

Betty Kyakuwa
Betty Kyakuwa

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Celebrating Academic Excellence: CoBAMS Presents 975 Graduands at Mak 76th Graduation Ceremony

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CoBAMS PhD graduands at the 76th graduation Ceremony on 26th February 2026. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

26th February 2026– The third day of Makerere University’s 76th Graduation Ceremony, held on 26th February 2026, underscored the University’s central role in shaping economic thought, business leadership, and public policy in Uganda and beyond. On this day, the College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS) together with Makerere University Business School (MUBS) presented their graduands for the conferment of degrees and award of diplomas.

CoBAMS Graduation Statistics

The Principal of CoBAMS, Prof. Edward Bbaale reading the names of PhD Graduands at the 76th Graduation Ceremony. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
The Principal of CoBAMS, Prof. Edward Bbaale reading the names of PhD Graduands at the 76th Graduation Ceremony.

Across the University, a total of 9,295 graduands will be presented during the 76th graduation ceremony (24th to 27th February 2026). The College of Business and Management Sciences presented 975 graduands, comprising 14 Doctor of Philosophy (PhD) degrees, 334 Master’s degrees, 2 Postgraduate Diplomas, and 625 Bachelor’s degrees. This robust academic profile reflects the College’s sustained investment in advanced research, graduate training, and industry-relevant programmes designed to equip graduates with analytical competence, ethical grounding, and leadership capacity required to contribute meaningfully to economic transformation, institutional development, and enterprise growth at national, regional, and global levels.

Prof. Nawangwe emphasized that CoBAMS remains a key pillar in advancing the University’s research agenda. Through strategic partnerships with government ministries, the business community, and the private sector, the College has produced over 60 high-quality research outputs under the CoBAMS Working Paper Series, many of which have been published in internationally recognized peer-reviewed journals. These outputs he said are aligned with the UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs), Uganda’s 10-fold National Economic Growth Strategy, and the University’s Strategic Plan, reinforcing CoBAMS’ role in driving evidence-based development.

The Vice Chancellor commended the College for its five dynamic research centres—Entrepreneurship and Innovation; Statistics and Demography; Public Investment Management; the Environment for Development Initiative; and the Centre of Excellence for Africa Climate-Sensitive Macroeconomic Modelling—which collectively form the backbone of the College’s research enterprise. Through these centres, he noted CoBAMS continues to advance high-level scholarship, foster interdisciplinary collaboration, and deepen policy engagement, firmly positioning itself at the forefront of national and regional economic discourse.

In his message to the graduands, Prof. Nawangwe tasked them to become job creators, who are ready to turn challenges into opportunities. He encouraged them to remain proud ambassadors of Makerere University, upholding integrity and excellence, and to utilize their knowledge to transform communities and nations.

“You are all graduating with disciplines that are needed by society. We have equipped you with the knowledge and skills that will make you employable or create your own businesses and employ others. Do not despair. If you cannot find employment, reflect on the immense opportunities around you and raise to the occasion as an entrepreneur,” Prof. Nawangwe stated.

The Guest of Honour, Hon. Janet Kataaha Museveni, First Lady and Minister of Education & Sports, praised Makerere University for its transformative impact on lives and Uganda’s future. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
The Guest of Honour, Hon. Janet Kataaha Museveni, First Lady and Minister of Education & Sports, praised Makerere University for its transformative impact on lives and Uganda’s future.

Addressing the congregation, the Guest of Honour, Hon. Janet Kataaha Museveni, First Lady and Minister of Education and Sports commended Makerere University for its pivotal role in transforming lives and shaping Uganda’s future. She congratulated the graduands upon reaching a significant academic milestone and reflected on the broader purpose of higher education in developing both knowledge and character.

She highlighted the success of the Emerging Leaders Programme, launched at Makerere University as a deliberate initiative to cultivate a generation of leaders grounded in values, integrity, and service. Founded on the conviction that higher education must shape both mind and character, the programme equips young people to navigate real-world challenges. She noted that 20 graduates from the inaugural cohort of the Emerging Leaders Programme were being celebrated at the 76th graduation.

“We recognised that our young people face real challenges such as moral decay, violence, addiction, exploitation and sometimes a loss of purpose and direction. The Emerging Leaders Programme was a deliberate commitment to raise a generation of leaders grounded in values, integrity and service to others. Today, 20 graduates represent the early visible fruit of that vision. They have deliberately chosen to build their lives on a foundation of strong moral values and servant leadership,” the Minister said.

The Minister urged graduands to view their achievements not as an end, but as a commissioning. She called upon them to lead with courage, humility, and responsibility, emphasizing that the world needs graduates who embody not just skills and knowledge, but character, integrity, and service. She reminded graduates that as they step into society, they carry the promise of a new Uganda, one where talent, ambition, and knowledge are matched by integrity, purpose, and service,” she exhorted, celebrating the role of higher education in nurturing both excellence and character.

76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
The commencement speaker, Dr. Patricia Ojangole, Managing Director of Uganda Development Bank addressing the 76th Makerere University congregation.

Delivering the commencement address, Dr. Patricia Ojangole, Managing Director of Uganda Development Bank and a proud Makerere University alumnus, lauded the University for equipping graduates with a strong intellectual foundation and the confidence to navigate the complexities of the modern world. She recognized the sacrifices of parents, guardians, and relatives, noting that behind every graduand lies a story of perseverance, encouragement, and unwavering support.

Dr. Ojangole urged the graduands to look beyond traditional employment, highlighting the vast opportunities for entrepreneurship and innovation in today’s digitally connected and globally integrated Uganda. She reminded them that the skills, exposure, and knowledge they possess, position them to create solutions, build enterprises, and drive economic and social transformation.

She emphasized lifelong learning, adaptability, and the cultivation of emotional intelligence and leadership as essential tools for sustained success, noting that the most effective leaders inspire and empower others. Above all, she urged the graduates to guard their integrity, develop strong networks, and remain resilient in the face of setbacks, framing every challenge as an opportunity to strengthen character.

“Learning does not end with this degree. The world of work is constantly evolving—technology advances, markets shift, and customer needs change. Those who stop learning quickly fall behind. Graduates must develop skills in artificial intelligence, data literacy, analytical thinking, forecasting, and strategic planning, while also cultivating emotional intelligence and leadership. These abilities are essential in the 21st-century workplace, where people follow leaders who inspire. Lifelong learning, adaptability, curiosity, and a willingness to embrace change are no longer optional—they are the new currency of corporate and business success,” she submitted.

The Chancellor Makerere university, Hon. Dr. Crispus Kiyonga presenting his remarks at the 76th congregation. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
The Chancellor Makerere University, Hon. Dr. Crispus Kiyonga presenting his remarks at the 76th congregation.

The Makerere University Chancellor, Dr. Crispus Kiyonga urged graduates to view their time at Makerere not only as an academic journey, but as an opportunity to engage with the world around them. He encouraged them to identify opportunities within their communities and the nation at large, highlighting that while some may secure government or private sector jobs, others will need to create their own paths through entrepreneurship.

“Beyond pursuing your courses, seize the opportunities at the university to broaden your knowledge of the world, your country, and the communities in which you live. Be attentive to the opportunities around you—those you can leverage to engage in meaningful and viable activities that bring prosperity,” the Chancellor advised.

The Chancellor Makerere university, confers the Doctor of Letters (Honoris Causa), of Makerere University upon Dr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
The Chancellor Makerere University, confers the Doctor of Letters (Honoris Causa), of Makerere University upon Dr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto.

A key highlight of the day was the conferment of the Doctor of Letters (Honoris Causa), of Makerere University upon Dr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto, recognizing him as an Honorary Scholar of Makerere University. A distinguished professional with remarkable achievements, Dr. Katto has made significant contributions to Uganda, the East African region, and beyond, particularly in advancing the accountancy discipline and strengthening the capital markets industry. His work has played a transformative role in Uganda’s social and economic development while also influencing the accountancy profession on a global scale.

Dr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto delivering his acceptance speech for the Doctor of Letters (Honoris Causa) at the 76th graduation. 76th Graduation Ceremony, Day 3, College of Business and Management Sciences (CoBAMS). Commencement Speaker-Dr. Patricia Adongo Ojangole, Managing Director, Uganda Development Bank Limited. 26th February 2026, Freedom Square, Makerere University, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Dr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto delivering his acceptance speech for the Doctor of Letters (Honoris Causa) at the 76th graduation.

Accepting the Honorary Doctorate Doctorate, Mr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto expressed deep gratitude to Makerere University and those who supported his journey. Reflecting on fifty years in corporate governance and finance, he emphasized a key lesson: integrity, diligence, and ethical leadership are always noticed, and the rewards of sowing excellence will inevitably follow, even if it takes decades.

“This recognition comes as a surprise and brings with it an important lesson, I wish to share with everyone here: people are always watching. They notice when you choose integrity over shortcuts, when you champion good governance even when it is unpopular. They see not only the good, but also the bad and the ugly. We must never forget the eternal law of the harvest: we reap what we sow. If you sow excellence, diligence, and ethics, the harvest—though it may take decades—will always find you,” Dr. Katto said.

Addressing the graduands, Mr. Japheth Buleetwa Katto urged them to embrace the unexpected, recognize that integrity is their greatest strength, and harness the power of networking. He reflected on his own journey, crediting teachers, mentors, colleagues, and family for their support, and encouraged the new graduates to always strive to make a positive impact in everything they do.

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Ritah Namisango
Ritah Namisango

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Parliament, MoFPD and Makerere Launch Five-Day Training on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling to Strengthen Fiscal Oversight

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Prof. Edward Bbaale (Centre) with participants at the commencement of training. Parliament of Uganda, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development and Public Investment Management (PIM) Centre of Excellence at Makerere University launch five-day intensive training programme on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling to strengthen fiscal governance and enhancing evidence-based decision-making, February 2026, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

By Wilber Tumutegyereize

In a significant step toward strengthening fiscal governance and enhancing evidence-based decision-making, the Parliament of Uganda, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development and Makerere University, has launched a five-day intensive training programme on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling.

The training brings together staff of the Parliamentary Budget Office (PBO) for a comprehensive capacity-building programme designed to deepen their analytical expertise in assessing national budgets, evaluating fiscal policy options, and generating independent, data-driven advice for Members of Parliament. The initiative forms part of a broader institutional strategy to reinforce Parliament’s oversight role and ensure that national budgeting processes are aligned with Uganda’s development priorities as articulated in the National Development Plan and Parliament’s Strategic Plan.

Strengthening Evidence-Based Fiscal Oversight

Speaking at the opening session on behalf of the Manager of the Public Investment Management (PIM) Centre of Excellence at Makerere University, Dr. Peter Babyenda emphasized that the increasing complexity of Uganda’s fiscal environment demands stronger analytical capacity within Parliament.

“This training comes at a critical time when the demands on Parliament to undertake rigorous scrutiny of fiscal and economic policy have never been greater,” Dr. Babyenda stated.

Dr. Peter Babyenda. Parliament of Uganda, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development and Public Investment Management (PIM) Centre of Excellence at Makerere University launch five-day intensive training programme on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling to strengthen fiscal governance and enhancing evidence-based decision-making, February 2026, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

He noted that Parliament’s constitutional mandate—to legislate, appropriate public funds, and oversee government expenditure—requires objective, independent, and technically sound economic analysis. The Parliamentary Budget Office plays a central role in fulfilling this mandate by providing Members of Parliament with timely assessments of revenue projections, expenditure allocations, public debt sustainability, and macroeconomic trends.

Dr. Babyenda explained that the Government’s Integrated Macroeconomic Model provides a holistic framework for understanding the interconnections between economic growth, fiscal policy, public investment, inflation, debt dynamics, and household welfare. By incorporating this model into parliamentary analysis, the PBO will be better positioned to simulate alternative policy scenarios and assess their short- and long-term implications.

Institutional Priorities

Mr. Henry Waiswa, Deputy Clerk to Parliament in charge of Corporate Affairs, contextualized the training within Parliament’s broader institutional reform agenda. He underscored Parliament’s constitutional responsibility to legislate, allocate resources, and oversee the management of public finances.

“Since its establishment under the Budget Act and its anchoring under the Administration of Parliament Act, the Parliamentary Budget Office has become a cornerstone of evidence-based fiscal oversight,” Mr. Waiswa noted.

He observed that Uganda’s public financial management landscape has become increasingly complex, with evolving fiscal pressures, development financing needs, and global economic uncertainties. In such an environment, Parliament must not only examine headline budget figures but also anticipate the macroeconomic and distributional effects of policy decisions on households, businesses, and vulnerable communities.

Participants follow proceedings. Parliament of Uganda, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development and Public Investment Management (PIM) Centre of Excellence at Makerere University launch five-day intensive training programme on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling to strengthen fiscal governance and enhancing evidence-based decision-making, February 2026, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

Mr. Waiswa further expressed appreciation to the Ministry of Finance, Makerere University, and the Resource Enhancement and Accountability Programme (REAP) for their technical and financial support in designing and facilitating the training.

Academic Expertise and Analytical Rigor

Professor Edward Bbaale, Director of the PIM Centre of Excellence at Makerere University, highlighted the critical role of academia in strengthening public sector institutions. He emphasized that collaboration between Parliament, the Ministry of Finance, and Makerere University reflects a shared commitment to improving the quality of fiscal governance.

“When our key public institutions work together, we enhance the credibility of economic management and ensure that policy decisions are informed by rigorous analysis,” Professor Bbaale said.

He explained that Integrated Macroeconomic Models combine key economic indicators, such as Gross Domestic Product (GDP), government revenue and expenditure, inflation, debt, investment, and external balances, into a unified analytical framework. These models enable analysts to conduct “what-if” simulations, test policy assumptions, and evaluate trade-offs between competing fiscal priorities.

Prof. Edward Bbaale. Parliament of Uganda, in collaboration with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development and Public Investment Management (PIM) Centre of Excellence at Makerere University launch five-day intensive training programme on Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling to strengthen fiscal governance and enhancing evidence-based decision-making, February 2026, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

Professor Bbaale urged participants to fully utilize the five-day training to strengthen their technical proficiency and contribute meaningfully to Parliament’s oversight function.

Practical Application and Long-Term Impact

The training programme emphasizes hands-on learning, allowing participants to work directly with the Integrated Macroeconomic Model. Through practical exercises, PBO staff will learn how to:

  • Simulate alternative fiscal and macroeconomic scenarios.
  • Assess revenue and expenditure implications of policy proposals.
  • Evaluate public debt sustainability and fiscal risks.
  • Examine distributional impacts on poverty, inequality, and household welfare.
  • Develop evidence-based policy briefs for Members of Parliament.

Dr. Babyenda reiterated that the value of the training lies in its practical application.

“The ultimate measure of success will be how effectively participants apply these tools to real parliamentary analysis,” he said. “It is through this application that Parliament can maintain rigorous oversight over public finances.”

A Strategic Investment in Institutional Capacity

By institutionalizing the use of Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling within the Parliamentary Budget Office, Uganda is making a strategic investment in sustainable institutional capacity. The initiative ensures that parliamentary analysts are trained using the same analytical frameworks applied in national fiscal planning, thereby reinforcing both technical quality and independence in budget scrutiny.

As Uganda navigates evolving economic challenges, the strengthened capacity of the PBO will enable Parliament to critically evaluate budget proposals, anticipate policy outcomes, and provide informed, transparent, and accountable oversight of public resources.

The five-day Integrated Macroeconomic Modelling training thus represents a pivotal milestone in advancing Uganda’s commitment to sound fiscal management, democratic governance, and evidence-based policymaking.

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Climate variability found to shape malaria trends in Yumbe District

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Climate variability and malaria incidence trends in Yumbe District, West Nile Sub-region of Uganda (2017–2021), by Lesley Rose Ninsiima, Rogers Musiitwa, Zaitune Nanyunja, James Muleme, Chris Maasaba, Twahiri Anule, and David Musoke, published February 2026 in Malaria Journal through Springer Nature Link by Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

A new study led by scientists from Makerere University School of Public Health has demonstrated that short-term climate variability plays a significant role in malaria transmission in Yumbe District, West Nile sub-region of Uganda. The study, Climate variability and malaria incidence trends in Yumbe District, West Nile Sub-region of Uganda (2017–2021), by Lesley Rose Ninsiima, Rogers Musiitwa, Zaitune Nanyunja, James Muleme, Chris Maasaba, Twahiri Anule, and David Musoke, was published in February 2026 in Malaria Journal through Springer Nature Link.

Today, malaria remains a major public health burden in Uganda, where environmental conditions support sustained transmission. Despite persistent outbreaks in northern Uganda, limited local evidence exists on how the changing climate patterns influence malaria trends. This study addressed that gap by examining five years of malaria surveillance data alongside district-level rainfall and temperature records.

Map showing the location of Yumbe District (outlined in red) in the West Nile sub-region of north-western Uganda, indicating the study area. Adapted from Relevance of Indigenous Knowledge in Sustainable Management of Forest Resources in the 21st Century Uganda. Climate variability and malaria incidence trends in Yumbe District, West Nile Sub-region of Uganda (2017–2021), by Lesley Rose Ninsiima, Rogers Musiitwa, Zaitune Nanyunja, James Muleme, Chris Maasaba, Twahiri Anule, and David Musoke, published February 2026 in Malaria Journal through Springer Nature Link by Makerere University School of Public Health, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Map showing the location of Yumbe District (outlined in red) in the West Nile sub-region of north-western Uganda, indicating the study area. Adapted from Relevance of Indigenous Knowledge in Sustainable Management of Forest Resources in the 21st Century Uganda.

Using routine health facility reports from the District Health Information System (DHIS) and climate data from the Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA), the researchers applied time-series analysis to assess seasonal patterns and delayed climate effects on malaria incidence. Between 2017 and 2021, Yumbe District recorded 2,066,711 malaria cases, with transmission showing clear seasonal peaks between May and July and September and November, aligning with rainy periods.

Their analysis showed that rainfall was the strongest climatic driver of malaria transmission. Increased rainfall was associated with higher malaria cases approximately one month later, reflecting the time needed for mosquito breeding and transmission cycles. In contrast, higher minimum temperatures were linked to reduced malaria incidence, while maximum temperature showed no significant effect. Together, rainfall and minimum temperature explained a substantial proportion of variation in malaria cases, highlighting malaria’s sensitivity to short-term climate fluctuations.

The study findings underscore the value of integrating climate information into malaria surveillance and early warning systems to anticipate transmission peaks and guide timely interventions. Strengthening collaboration between public health and meteorological sectors, the researchers argue, could improve preparedness and support climate-informed malaria control strategies in high-burden settings.

Further details: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1186/s12936-026-05824-0

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John Okeya

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