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Global Conversations: Climate Change Multiplies Health Risks, A Call to Action on Extreme Weather Effects

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By Davidson Ndyabahika, Johanna Blomgren and Julius T. Mugaga

Experts have urged urgent action to mitigate the health risks of climate change. The 2023 global conversation, on Climate Change and Health highlighted the need for transformational action in every sector to protect people’s health from climate change.

Held on September 5, 2023 the virtual seminar, organized by the Centre of Excellence for Sustainable Health (CESH), a collaboration between Makerere University and the Karolinska Institutet that aims to increase capacity and spur action to advance the agenda for sustainable health drew over 230 attendees from all over the world. It placed emphasis on mitigating the effects of extreme weather, such flooding.

A more recent research study by CESH defines Sustainable health as a multisectoral area for study, research, and practice towards improving health and well-being for all while staying within planetary boundaries.

In its 2023 report, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) notes that global terrestrial, freshwater, and ocean ecosystems have already been affected by climate change, along with the associated losses and costs. It predicts that heavy rainfall and flooding events are expected to worsen and occur more frequently in the majority of regions of Africa, Asia, North America, and Europe by 1.5°C global warming (high confidence).

The 2023 IPCC report identifies barriers that prevent people and society from implementing climate-resilient behaviors. Financial limitations, conflicts with the SDGs, inequalities, institutional, economic, and social hurdles, as well as dispersed strategies, are a few of these. The panel equally agree that if global warming exceeds 1.5 °C and the SDGs are not adequately progressed, chances for climate-resilient development would be considerably more limited.

Now, during the seminar, the panel, by consensus agreed that climate change is critical citing that such conversations on critical factors in relation to the climate and health crisis are not only timely but necessary.

Climate change impacts the social determinants of health, which include excellent health and wellbeing, by causing decreased food output, low fishing yields, flooding, and infrastructure damage, according to Daniel Helldén, a PhD student at KI Department of Global Public Health.

“The future emission scenarios are dire. What is becoming more and more clear is that climate change is a generational issue. Children born today will continue to bear the biggest burden of climate change impact,” said Helldén.

Dr. Mugume Isaac Amooti, the Director of Weather Forecasting Services at the Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA), emphasized the importance of considering both long-term averages and unprecedented weather events driven by climate change. These events are thought extreme only when they exceed past records. He noted for instance that in Uganda; “The widespread flooding brought on by heavy and frequent precipitation is what we are seeing in Uganda, particularly in the cities. However, we are witnessing heat waves and cold waves at different times of the year.”

A profile of panelist, Dr. Mugume Isaac Amooti, Director, Weather Forecasting Services, Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA).
A profile of panelist, Dr. Mugume Isaac Amooti, Director, Weather Forecasting Services, Uganda National Meteorological Authority (UNMA).

Although there isn’t a clear pattern in Sweden’s precipitation, Dr. Johanna Sörensen of Lund University in Sweden said that forecasts suggest that rainfall may increase by the end of the century. Given the flooding problems that already present, this, she says is something to worry about. “Flooding is increasing not only because of climate change but also even more that we construct the cities more densely and we construct buildings and industries on lowly areas that we used not to do in the past which is of course not a good idea.”

A profile of panelist, Dr. Johanna Sörensen, Associate Senior Lecturer, Division of Water Resources Engineering, Faculty of Engineering (LTH), Lund University, Sweden.
A profile of panelist, Dr. Johanna Sörensen, Associate Senior Lecturer, Division of Water Resources Engineering, Faculty of Engineering (LTH), Lund University, Sweden.

Dr. Tamer Rabie, a lead health specialist at the World Bank Group, notes that risks are amplified by climate change, which therefore has an intensified negative impact. He points out, for instance, that in order to comprehend how climate change and changes in temperature and precipitation patterns will affect health, it is critical to view climate change as a risk multiplier.

A profile of Dr. Tamer Samah Rabie, Lead Health Specialist, World Bank's Health, Nutrition, and Population Global Practice.
A profile of Dr. Tamer Samah Rabie, Lead Health Specialist, World Bank’s Health, Nutrition, and Population Global Practice.

Dr. Tamer, also the architect of the World Bank’s global Health-Climate and Environment Program (H-CEP), underscored three pathways through which climate change impacts health: direct effects, indirect effects, and those mediated by ecosystems. Some of the direct pathways include issues like increased temperatures likely to lead to heat waves, heat-related illnesses, worsened non-communicable diseases, and increase in the risk of events like traumatic injuries.

According to Dr. Tamer, ecosystem-mediated risks include vector-borne diseases (like Malaria and Dengue), foodborne illnesses, and waterborne diseases (like Cholera). These risks are closely tied to how health outcomes are influenced by the ecosystem. Additionally, indirect health impacts encompass mental health due to population displacements, as well as malnutrition resulting from shifts in food production and overall food systems.

“We have done estimates in the World Bank that show that extreme weather events and climate change will lead to pushing nearly 132 million people into extreme poverty by 2030. If you look at the health impacts within those figures and the main drivers, we are seeing that nearly 44 million out of those 132 will be pushed into extreme poverty by 2030 if we don’t take any action today,” Dr. Tamer.

According to Dr. Tamer, the World Bank has conducted climate and health vulnerability assessments specifically looking at the cost of inaction moving into the 2030s and 2050s using information that relates to malaria, dengue, diarrhea, stunting in children, heat related illnesses, floods, among others.

“What we are seeing is that on average, countries will be losing anywhere between 1-5% of their GDP as a result of not really addressing the climate crisis, not being able to address these impacts that we are talking about, and obviously not investing enough into the health systems to be able to be more resilient,” Dr. Tamer noted during the webinar.

According to Dr. Sara Gabrielsson, an Associate Senior Lecturer in Sustainability Science at Lund University’s Centre for Sustainability Studies (LUCSUS), addressing immediate health risks involves containing flooding, which is just one aspect of climate change-related challenges like sea level rise and drought.

A profile of Dr. Sara Gabrielsson, Lecturer and Researcher, Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies (LUCSUS).
A profile of Dr. Sara Gabrielsson, Lecturer and Researcher, Lund University Centre for Sustainability Studies (LUCSUS).

She highlights the connection between various deadly diseases like dengue, typhoid, trachoma, and cholera among others to this issue. During a crisis like flooding, treatment for these diseases she notes often takes a backseat due to the overwhelming health burdens that arise.

“There is death from drowning or direct injury from debris in these very storm surges, but then we also have the issue of just water sitting, waiting in water for longer periods, leading to lots of infections, urine-tract infections, vaginal infections, skin diseases, hypothermia, lots of those kinds of things, but also vector-borne diseases, and especially malaria, which is, of course, one big thing here,” Dr. Gabrielsson opines.

She adds that flooding brings problems like contaminated drinking water, leading to chronic diarrhea and malnutrition. Additionally, damaged sanitation facilities force people into open defecation, exposing them to harmful bacteria and further risk of chronic diarrhea.

“These immediate health risks are just the beginning. Moving into long-term risks, flooding severely impacts the availability of clean water for basic hygiene. As we’ve learned from COVID, hygiene is paramount for health. Insufficient handwashing and personal hygiene can breed disease. We need proper hygiene for preparing food, tending to babies, managing menstrual health, and more. Without it, there’s increased exposure to harmful bacteria, compounded by the use of inadequate sanitation systems, resulting in outbreaks of various diseases,” observed Gabrielsson.

Way forward

Dr. Sörensen, from a Swedish standpoint, proposes proactive steps to mitigate flooding. These include slowing down water flow, discouraging construction in flood-prone zones, and avoiding building in areas prone to heavy rain. She points out that in cities like Mumbai and Gothenburg, there has been a concerning trend of construction in flood-prone regions. Dr. Sörensen emphasizes the importance of adapting solutions for creating greener, more sustainable cities. “In China, they call it a sponge city. It’s like a sponge—you fill it up with water during rainfall and then use it later for various purposes. Utilizing vegetation and water storage helps retain water and slow down its flow in urban areas. Green spaces in cities are crucial for health, well-being, and providing shade, especially during heatwaves,” she says.

Dr. Johanna Sörensen.
Dr. Johanna Sörensen.

In Uganda, Dr. Mugume notes that the government has invested in weather monitoring infrastructure, including the three weather radars, which are strategically spread across the country to enable UNMA to monitor weather at any part of the country.

“With this technology, we can now offer more precise and timely services, ensuring our communities respond effectively. Weather and climate forecasts range from hourly to seasonal projections. Shorter forecasts tend to be more accurate, although longer ones still fall within manageable limits. For instance, our seasonal forecast accuracy in Uganda is at 90%, aligning with National Development Plan 3. We collaborate with development partners to fine-tune these forecasts.”

For Dr. Gabrielsson, preparedness is key, especially for the 2.2 billion people worldwide relying on sanitation systems, many of whom live in rapidly urbanizing areas and unplanned settlements.

Unfortunately, these systems often lack proper management, leading to health risks. In urban settings, she says, the spread of sludge from these systems can have widespread health implications. To address this, there’s a pressing need to prioritize climate-resilient sanitation systems. Historically, the sanitation sector has been under-prioritized, resulting in insufficient funding and political attention. Without a one-size-fits-all solution due to diverse living habits, cultural considerations become paramount. A gender-responsive approach is crucial, as women are primarily responsible for WASH (Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene) practices.

Dr. Sara Gabrielsson.
Dr. Sara Gabrielsson.

“It involves recognizing the unique needs of different groups, such as refugees, the elderly, disabled individuals, children, and menstruating individuals. Climate-resilient wash infrastructure requires community responsibility, government policy, and financial support. For instance, in flood-prone areas like the Amazon Basin, sanitation facilities are designed to align with local livelihoods, incorporating features like composting latrines that produce manure for farming and collecting rainwater for handwashing. This approach ensures environmental safety and sustainable practices,” she observes.

Dr. Gabrielsson emphasizes the importance of cultural acceptance in encouraging people’s dedication to upholding basic sanitation and hygiene practices, particularly in the face of flooding. “Another example I presented is a UNICEF-supported toilet in Bangladesh. It’s elevated with precast concrete rings to prevent flooding, sealed with concrete mortar for contamination prevention, and reinforced to withstand heavy rain and wind. This design was developed in close consultation with local communities, ensuring cultural acceptance and affordability. The goal is to create facilities that people actually want to use, which is why it’s crucial to integrate natural and social sciences for effective solutions.”

The World Bank has substantially supported action on climate change, including both adaptation and mitigation initiatives. Dr. Tamer says over $2.2 billion has been set aside as of today for climate-related health interventions, especially in South Asia and sub-Saharan Africa. Significant assistance has also been given to assist tiny island states in managing the effects of climate change, particularly extreme events.

In Yemen, the World Bank has sponsored efforts to put in place electronic early warning systems for real-time health data and policy response due to outbreaks of diseases including cholera and malaria. In Madagascar, the World Bank has funded work combining climate and nutrition programming.  The World Bank worked with the government of Ghana to create long-lasting vaccine delivery networks.

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Davidson Ndyabahika

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Three Years of Impact: Makerere University Health User Committee Presents Status Report

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Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (Right) receives the Mak-HUC Status Report from the Chairperson-Dr. Allen Kabagenyi (Centre) and Chief MakHC-Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha (Left) on 11th December 2025. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

Makerere University on 11th November 2025 marked a significant milestone as the Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery—formally handed over its three-year report. The event highlighted the committee’s achievements in guiding, monitoring, and improving Makerere University Health Services, presenting a record of progress that has reshaped confidence, strengthened systems, and expanded care for staff and students.

A Call for Integrated and Sustainable Health Services

The Vice Chancellor Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe emphasized the need for a more integrated, efficient, and sustainable approach to delivering health services for Makerere University staff and students. He noted that while the University does not receive supplies from the National Medical Stores system, its community remains entitled to quality care, urging renewed consideration of how essential services—such as drug access, surgical limits, and special medical cases—can be better supported. He highlighted the importance of practical costing models, especially for extending care to staff dependents, and called for flexibility in managing exceptional cases like complex surgeries or referrals abroad.

Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe.

The Vice Chancellor also underscored the urgent need to modernize the University Hospital, proposing that Makerere begin incrementally establishing a teaching hospital using existing facilities and leveraging expertise of highly qualified consultants the College of Health Sciences (CHS). He reiterated that government budget ceilings remain a major constraint, but encouraged the committee to develop a concept that could be presented to Council and later supported through strategic engagement with the Ministry of Finance, Planning and Economic Development. Throughout his remarks, he applauded the Mak-HUC for its work and reaffirmed that even with the creation of a professional hospital board, the committee must remain central in representing service users.

Aligning Health Services with Sustainable Insurance Models

Prof. Bruce Kirenga the Principal College of Health Sciences responded by clarifying the committee’s efforts to align Makerere’s health services with real insurance models, including cost projections for covering additional family members and encouraging voluntary staff contributions where necessary. He acknowledged the complexity of expanding service coverage—especially in cases of chronic illness or high-cost procedures—but emphasized the committee’s commitment to cautious, sustainable planning. He confirmed that the College is working closely with the Hospital to improve services, attract specialists, and integrate students into the health system, a model that naturally draws academic staff into clinical roles without imposing unrealistic obligations.

Prof. Bruce Kirenga. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Prof. Bruce Kirenga.

Prof. Kirenga also noted the College’s ongoing assessments of facility needs, including dialysis, ICU expansion, and equipment placement, stressing that the ultimate goal is a unified, well-structured health network across the University. He welcomed the Vice Chancellor’s support for transforming existing facilities into a teaching hospital and pledged to refine proposals that reflect both current realities and long-term institutional needs.

Committee Chair Reflects on Three-Year Achievements

Dr. Allen Kabagyenyi, Chair of Mak-HUC, reflected on the three-year journey with gratitude and pride, noting that the committee not only fulfilled its terms of reference but exceeded expectations. She highlighted major gains made under the Vice Chancellor’s support, including transforming the University Hospital into a self-accounting unit—an intervention that unlocked smoother financial management and accelerated service delivery. Dr. Kabagyenyi commended the strong collaboration with the Hospital administration, Human Resources Directorate, and other units, which ensured staffing stability even during institutional transitions.

Dr. Allen Kabagenyi. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Dr. Allen Kabagenyi.

She pointed to the expansion of referral partnerships—now totaling 29 health facilities nationwide—as a crucial achievement that guarantees continuity of care for staff and students wherever they are. She also emphasized the committee’s work in guiding policies for specialized treatment and cross-border care, strengthening fraud-prevention systems, and advancing digital transformation through an integrated health information system and the new Makerere University Health Services (MakHS) website. Dr. Kabagyenyi noted that these improvements have directly benefited staff and enhanced the overall quality of care, supported by close collaboration with the College of Health Sciences and access to some of the country’s best consultants. She concluded by underscoring the ongoing need for a comprehensive University Health Policy and expressed deep appreciation to the Vice Chancellor and University Management for their unwavering openness and support—attributes she credited for the committee’s success.

Highlights of Service Growth and Infrastructure Upgrades

The Chief, Makerere University Health Services, Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha, highlighted the significant progress achieved under the Health User Committee’s oversight, noting especially the steady rise in service utilization and renewed confidence among staff and students. He emphasized that trust in the University Hospital has grown organically—built not through advertising, but through improved patient experience, stronger systems, and word of mouth.

Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha.

Prof. Byamugisha pointed to major achievements such as expanded Out-Patient Department (OPD) attendance, better student access to care, enhanced infrastructure including modernized theatres capable of complex procedures, and upgraded laboratories supported through framework agreements that ensure continuous equipment renewal. He noted that specialized clinics, increased inpatient capacity, and expanded referral networks have strengthened the Hospital’s reach and responsiveness. The Hospital is also taking on more research work and clinical training, partnering with units such as optometry, internal medicine, and the Clinical Trials Unit, with new collaborations—like the MasterCard Foundation—driving further growth.

He reaffirmed that the long-term vision of establishing a fully-fledged Makerere University Teaching Hospital is taking shape through coordinated efforts with the College of Health Sciences. Prof. Byamugisha credited the Vice Chancellor’s support for enabling these strides and expressed deep appreciation to all stakeholders contributing to the continued improvement of health services for the entire University community.

Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (4th Left) and Dr. Allen Kabagenyi (4th Right) pose for a group photo with Mak-HUC Members and officials at the Main Building Entrance. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (4th Left) and Dr. Allen Kabagenyi (4th Right) pose for a group photo with Mak-HUC Members and officials at the Main Building Entrance.

DICTS Unveils Modular Information System & Health Services Website

The Directorate for ICT Support (DICTS) presented the newly developed Makerere University Integrated Health Management Information System (MakIHMIS), designed around a modular system that streamlines all hospital processes. The platform integrates eight functional modules, including registration, triage, clinician workflows, inventory and medicines management, pharmacy dispensing, laboratory information management, user management, and linkages to both the Academic and Human Resource Management Information Systems ACMIS and e-HRMS respetively. Most of these modules are already active, enabling smooth patient registration, accurate record-keeping, real-time inventory tracking, and seamless access to student and staff data without duplication. Only two modules—land and insurance—remain under development before the system becomes fully end-to-end. The MakHS website on the other hand features information about hospital services, events, research activities, and staff profiles, offering both the university community and the public a centralized and efficient digital gateway to the hospital’s operations.

Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (4th Left) flanked by Left to Right: Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha, Mr. Juma Katongole, Mr. Victor Watasa, Dr. Allen Kabagenyi, Mr. Samuel Mugabi and Prof. Bruce Kirenga launches the MakIHMIS. The Vice Chancellor, Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (4th Left) and Chairperson, Dr. Allen Kabagenyi (4th Right) pose for a group photo at the Main Building Entrance with Mak-HUC Members and officials after the event. Makerere University Health User Committee (Mak-HUC)—established by the Vice Chancellor in 2022 as part of his strategic mandate to strengthen and oversee the University’s health service delivery-official handover of status report, 11th December 2025, Main Building, Kampala Uganda, East Africa.
Prof. Barnabas Nawangwe (4th Left) flanked by Left to Right: Prof. Josaphat Byamugisha, Mr. Juma Katongole, Mr. Victor Watasa, Dr. Allen Kabagenyi, Mr. Samuel Mugabi and Prof. Bruce Kirenga launches the MakIHMIS.

The term of the outgoing committee has officially concluded, and preparations are now underway for the incoming committee to assume its duties and continue advancing the work ahead.

Eve Nakyanzi

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Proceedings of the National Annual Communicable and Non-Communicable Diseases and 19th Joint Scientific Health Conference 2025

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Cover page of the Proceedings of the National Annual Communicable and Non-Communicable Diseases (NACNCD) and 19th Joint Scientific Health (JASH) Conference 2025 with a photo of the Minister of Health, Hon. Dr. Jane Ruth Aceng posing for a group photo with other officials. Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

The Ministry of Health and Makerere University in Uganda co-organised the National Annual Communicable and Non-Communicable Diseases (NACNDC) and 19th Joint Scientific Health (JASH) Conference 2025 under the theme: “Unified Action Against Communicable and Non-Communicable Diseases in Uganda“. The conference brought together stakeholders from government ministries and departments, local governments, academia, civil society, the private sector, development partners, professional associations, and communities who deliberated on the important role of coordinated action in addressing Uganda’s growing burden of infectious and non-infectious diseases in an evolving local and global health landscape.

Discussions reaffirmed the need for strengthened multisectoral collaboration and One Health approach that engages all government sectors and clearly defines the role of the private sector. Participants emphasized the importance of an integrated, people-centred model of disease prevention and care model, along with the need to enhance data systems, research, and policy translation. The conference also underscored the urgency of increasing domestic financing and adopting innovative financing mechanisms that broadly support the health system’s capacity to tackle the dual disease burden.

The conference proceedings feature selected abstracts presented during the conference, showcasing a wide range of research, innovations, programmatic solutions and field experiences. The conference offered a unique platform that demonstrated how academia, programme implementers, and policymakers can collaborate to generate and apply evidence for improved health outcomes. The findings shared at the conference and captured in the proceedings will inform national policies and strengthen efforts to prevent and control communicable and non-communicable diseases in Uganda.

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Inside Uganda’s Silent AMR Crisis: Counterfeit Drugs, Antibiotic Overuse, and What Wakiso’s Evidence Reveals

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Participants pose for a group photo at the "Strengthening leadership and management among local government health managers in Wakiso district, Uganda", Project Dissemination Workshop held on 23rd April 2025 in the MakSPH Auditorium, Makerere University School of Public Health (MakSPH) Kampala Uganda, East Africa.

Two new studies by researchers at Makerere University School of Public Health (MakSPH) reveal a troubling pattern at the centre of Uganda’s escalating antimicrobial resistance (AMR) crisis, a public health challenge where disease-causing bacteria and other germs stop responding to known medicines meant to kill them, making common infections harder or more expensive to treat.

The studies, conducted in Wakiso and neighbouring districts and recently published in leading scientific journals, examined key drivers of AMR from distinct yet connected perspectives. Together, they expose a health system under strain; shaped by poor-quality medicines circulating in communities, high and often inappropriate antibiotic use in healthcare facilities, and limited public awareness of safe medicine use, conditions now reinforcing one another and accelerating drug resistance.

At the centre, Assoc. Prof. David Musoke, one of the lead researchers on the two studies, and Ms. Bonny Natukunda (Senior Health Educator, Wakiso District) pose with community health workers, district health officials, and facilitators after an AMR workshop in Bukondo, Namayumba Sub-County, on September 22, 2025. Delivered under the NTU–Mak Partnership with Buckinghamshire Healthcare NHS Trust, the week-long workshop trained more than 380 community health workers from Namayumba Sub-County.
At the centre, Assoc. Prof. David Musoke, one of the lead researchers on the two studies, and Ms. Bonny Natukunda (Senior Health Educator, Wakiso District) pose with community health workers, district health officials, and facilitators after an AMR workshop in Bukondo, Namayumba Sub-County, on September 22, 2025. Delivered under the NTU–Mak Partnership with Buckinghamshire Healthcare NHS Trust, the week-long workshop trained more than 380 community health workers from Namayumba Sub-County.

According to the Ministry of Health, AMR in Uganda has reached concerning levels. By March 2025, resistant infections were estimated to kill 37,800 people annually, with over 7,000 deaths directly caused by AMR and more than 30,000 linked to infections no longer responding to available treatment. This surge is driven by unrestricted access to antibiotics, weak drug-regulatory enforcement, and widespread misuse of antimicrobials in humans and animals.

The Ministry acknowledges that many patients are treated without diagnostic testing, while low public awareness and weak stewardship across human and veterinary health services continue to fuel microbial resistance. As a result, bacteria that once responded to routine antibiotics now show resistance rates of up to 80 per cent in some cases, undermining treatment outcomes, food safety, and household incomes. It is this challenge that informed the two MakSPH studies.

Part of the study team, led by Assoc. Prof. David Musoke (extreme left), at the recent 10th National AMR Conference in Kampala on November 19, 2025, organised by the Ministry of Health, where they presented evidence from the two studies in Wakiso generated through the NTU–Mak Partnership.
Part of the study team, led by Assoc. Prof. David Musoke (extreme left), at the recent 10th National AMR Conference in Kampala on November 19, 2025, organised by the Ministry of Health, where they presented evidence from the two studies in Wakiso generated through the NTU–Mak Partnership.

Two Studies, One Warning

Evidence from both studies points to the need for coordinated action to strengthen medicine quality, improve prescribing practices, and build community awareness to preserve the effectiveness of essential treatments. In the first paper, published on October 6, 2025, in the Journal of Pharmaceutical Policy and Practice, researchers led by Associate Professor David Musoke examined how consumers encounter and respond to substandard and falsified medicines for both human and animal use.

Conducted in 2024, the study surveyed 432 community members in Wakiso District, where the Nottingham Trent University – Makerere University (NTU–Mak) Partnership, initiated by NTU’s Prof. Linda Gibson and MakSPH’s Assoc. Prof. Musoke, has implemented community-based health systems programmes for 15 years now. Using a structured household questionnaire, the team assessed knowledge, attitudes, and everyday practices related to medicine use.

NTU’s Prof. Linda Gibson and MakSPH’s Assoc. Prof. David Musoke at the British Academy Equitable Partnerships Workshop on November 20, 2025, reflecting on 15 years of the successful NTU–Mak partnership.
NTU’s Prof. Linda Gibson and MakSPH’s Assoc. Prof. David Musoke at the British Academy Equitable Partnerships Workshop on November 20, 2025, reflecting on 15 years of the successful NTU–Mak partnership.

The second study, published on November 21 in the Dovepress Journal of Infection and Drug Resistance, was led by Dr. Bush Herbert Aguma, a pharmacist, health-systems researcher, and Lecturer in the Department of Pharmacy at Makerere University. Working with Assoc. Prof. Musoke and colleagues, the team applied the standardised Global Point Prevalence Survey (GPPS) to examine antibiotic prescribing across three hospitals and five lower-level health centres in Wakiso, Nakaseke, and Butambala. The survey assessed patient demographics, antimicrobial therapy details, and adherence to treatment guidelines to identify gaps requiring improvement.

The surveys were conducted at Entebbe Regional Referral Hospital, Gombe General Hospital, Nakaseke General Hospital, and five lower-level facilities in Wakiso, all part of the Commonwealth Partnerships for Antimicrobial Stewardship (CwPAMS) project at MakSPH implemented through the NTU–Mak Partnership. Alongside the surveys, the partnership has strengthened antimicrobial stewardship in these eight facilities through routine staff training, mentorship, community engagement, and capacity-building in infection prevention and control, microbiology, and detection of substandard and falsified medicines.

“The work was to empower the facility through its Medicines and Therapeutics Committee, which has a sub-committee on antimicrobial stewardship. That committee oversees the process, ensures future surveys are conducted, and can initiate targeted assessments when problems with specific prescriptions arise,” Dr. Herbert Bush Aguma, lead author of the second study, explained.

Dr. Herbert Bush Aguma, explaining the study’s results and impact from his office on December 8, 2025, noted that it has enabled the health facilities to independently track antimicrobial use, identify prescribing gaps, and strengthen stewardship practices.
Dr. Herbert Bush Aguma, explaining the study’s results and impact from his office on December 8, 2025, noted that it has enabled the health facilities to independently track antimicrobial use, identify prescribing gaps, and strengthen stewardship practices.

He added that the programme in the selected facilities for the study went beyond just measuring antimicrobial use, to supporting the facilities develop stewardship plans, strengthening laboratory capacity, and training health workers across human, animal and environmental sectors under a One Health approach. As a result, he stated, facilities can now independently conduct point prevalence surveys, identify prescribing gaps such as inappropriate ceftriaxone use, and advocate for improved diagnostics, while hospitals, Village Health Teams (VHTs), veterinary and environmental officers increasingly address AMR drivers within their settings, leading to significant and lasting impact.

Over the last 15 years, the NTU–Mak Partnership, as part of this work, has trained more than 600 health workers across the human, animal, and environmental sectors in Wakiso, Nakaseke, and Butambala, and equipped over 1,300 community health workers (VHTs) in Wakiso with practical AMR knowledge. University-led programmes, international student competitions, and a 900-member online Community of Practice have further extended its reach. Together, these initiatives demonstrate how sustained community engagement can translate national AMR priorities into real-world impact, offering a model for locally anchored AMR interventions while also supporting the generation of new evidence to strengthen health systems, including the current two studies.

Right: MakSPH student Bridget Ahumuza celebrates a commendation as the 2025 Antibiotic Guardian Health Student of the Year, awarded through the NTU–Mak Partnership for her AMR stewardship advocacy.
Right: MakSPH student Bridget Ahumuza celebrates a commendation as the 2025 Antibiotic Guardian Health Student of the Year, awarded through the NTU–Mak Partnership for her AMR stewardship advocacy.

What Communities Know, and Don’t Know, About Fake Medicines

In the first study, Assoc. Prof. Musoke and colleagues found that while 83 per cent of respondents had heard of substandard and falsified medicines, only 31 per cent could correctly define the terms, and just seven per cent could accurately identify a falsified product. According to the World Health Organisation (WHO), a global health watchdog, substandard and falsified medicines fail to meet quality standards or deliberately mimic genuine products, often containing the wrong, too little, or no active ingredients. Such medicines put patients at risk of treatment failure, toxicity, and death and accelerate antimicrobial resistance by exposing bacteria to ineffective drug levels.

In Wakiso, the most populous district in Uganda with over 3.3 million people, although over 95 per cent of respondents recognised substandard and falsified medicines as dangerous, many reported having purchased drugs they suspected to be fake: 14 per cent for human and 24 per cent for animal use. To check authenticity, residents relied on advice from health workers or veterinary officers and on buying from trusted outlets. Yet reporting remained extremely low, as only one in four informed a health worker when they suspected a problem, and still, just four per cent had ever reported a case to the National Drug Authority (NDA), mandated to regulate drugs in Uganda.

These patterns reveal a community that recognises the threat of poor-quality medicines but lacks the agency to act. As the study notes, “community members from a range of backgrounds had limited knowledge and poor practices despite commendable attitudes on substandard and falsified medicines… Many respondents reported never having purchased and used substandard and falsified medicines knowingly or unknowingly, although a good number suspected that a medicine they previously purchased had been substandard or falsified.”

Over 50 health managers from 51 healthcare facilities in Wakiso District received certificates at the end of a two-day leadership development training on November 26, 2025, delivered through the NTU–Mak Partnership and Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (NUH) in collaboration with the Wakiso District Local Government and the Ministry of Health. The workshop strengthened leadership capacity across the district health system.
Over 50 health managers from 51 healthcare facilities in Wakiso District received certificates at the end of a two-day leadership development training on November 26, 2025, delivered through the NTU–Mak Partnership and Nottingham University Hospitals NHS Trust (NUH) in collaboration with the Wakiso District Local Government and the Ministry of Health. The workshop strengthened leadership capacity across the district health system.

In the second study on antibiotic prescribing, the researchers found high rates of antibiotic use across all eight public facilities. In the three hospitals, 87.2 per cent of inpatients were receiving at least one antibiotic, with ceftriaxone alone, the most commonly prescribed antibiotic in other studies, accounting for nearly one-third of all prescriptions. Most antibiotics were administered prophylactically, especially for obstetric and gynaecological surgeries, which made up 30.7 per cent of all hospital antibiotic use. In lower-level facilities, 60.7 per cent of outpatients received antibiotics, with amoxicillin accounting for 39.1 per cent of all prescriptions. Upper respiratory tract infections, many of them viral, were the leading reason for outpatient antibiotic use.

“Resistance to first-line antimicrobials increases the risk of morbidity and mortality. Unfortunately, the global rise in AMR has not been matched by the development of new antibiotics effective against resistant bacteria,” reads the paper in part. “As a result, healthcare costs are expected to rise, economic productivity will fall due to reduced workforce activity, and global life expectancy could drop by an estimated 1.8 years. This existential threat must be averted to avoid a post-antibiotic era in which even minor infections become fatal.”

In the study on antibiotic prescribing, the researchers found high rates of antibiotic use across all eight public health facilities, with ceftriaxone as the most commonly prescribed antibiotic.
In the study on antibiotic prescribing, the researchers found high rates of antibiotic use across all eight public health facilities, with ceftriaxone as the most commonly prescribed antibiotic.

Read together, the two studies provide a ground-level view of how AMR takes root long before a patient reaches a hospital or pharmacy. Poor-quality medicines remain widespread yet poorly understood, while health workers operate under heavy workloads, limited diagnostics, and outdated guidelines that make empirical treatment with antibiotics the default option.

These realities echo the warning delivered by Assoc. Prof. David Musoke, during his keynote address at the 10th National AMR Conference in Kampala on November 19, 2025. Speaking at the event organised by the National One Health Platform, institutionalised in 2016 under the Ministry of Health to coordinate AMR efforts, and held to mark World AMR Awareness Week 2025 under the theme Act Now: Protect Our Present, Secure Our Future, he cautioned that Uganda’s fight against AMR will falter unless communities are placed at the centre of national action.

“One in six bacterial infections globally, and one in five in Africa, are now resistant to available antibiotics,” Dr. Musoke said, citing the latest Global Antimicrobial Resistance and Use Surveillance System (GLASS) Report 2025. “If Uganda is to make real progress, communities must be treated not as recipients of information but as genuine partners in the fight against AMR.”

Assoc. Prof. David Musoke delivers the keynote address at the 10th National AMR Conference in Kampala on November 19, 2025, warning that Uganda’s fight against AMR will stall unless communities are placed at the centre of national action.
Assoc. Prof. David Musoke delivers the keynote address at the 10th National AMR Conference in Kampala on November 19, 2025, warning that Uganda’s fight against AMR will stall unless communities are placed at the centre of national action.

What Must Change: Recommendations from the Researchers

To strengthen antimicrobial stewardship, the study on antibiotic prescribing recommends scaling up diagnostic capacity in public facilities so that treatment decisions are based on laboratory evidence rather than broad empirical prescribing, a medical term that means treatment initiated based on a clinician’s “educated guess” and clinical experience, in the absence of a definitive diagnosis or complete information about the specific cause of a disorder. Expanding functional microbiology services, the study says, would reduce reliance on broad-spectrum antibiotics, which accelerates resistance.

The authors also call for strict enforcement of national treatment guidelines, especially in surgical wards where antibiotics are routinely continued longer than clinically required. For them, reducing unnecessary prophylaxis, particularly in obstetric and gynaecological surgery, would go a long way in limiting misuse without compromising patient safety.

They further urge the Ministry of Health to eliminate non-recommended antibiotic combinations from routine use and ensure consistent stock management to prevent missed doses. This, in addition to strengthening Water, Sanitation, and Hygiene (WASH), and Infection-Prevention and Control (IPC) systems, combined with regular stewardship-focused training for prescribers, is highlighted as essential for improving prescribing standards. Finally, they recommend institutionalising routine point prevalence surveys in Uganda to track trends, guide facility-level action, and reinforce accountability for stewardship.

Makerere University students demonstrate proper hand hygiene while engaging residents in an AMR and hygiene awareness outreach in Kamwokya’s informal settlements on April 11, 2025.
Makerere University students demonstrate proper hand hygiene while engaging residents in an AMR and hygiene awareness outreach in Kamwokya’s informal settlements on April 11, 2025.

On the other hand, to address the widespread circulation of substandard and falsified medicines, the study team call for a nationwide effort to improve public literacy on how to recognise, verify, and report suspicious medical products. The authors also argue that current reporting pathways are largely invisible, leaving most community members unsure of how or where to lodge complaints. Strengthening the National Drug Authority’s visibility and making its reporting mechanisms simple and accessible, in that case, is identified as a critical first step.

They also highlight the need to engage frontline actors, and this includes Village Health Teams, Community Health Extension Workers, veterinary officers, and local leaders, as primary change agents. These trusted community structures, the authors assert, are well-positioned to translate regulatory messages into actionable information than mass-media campaigns alone.

Given the extensive use of suspected counterfeit veterinary medicines, the authors call for strengthened One Health education and a fully integrated communication approach linking human, animal, and plant health risks. They recommend sustained messaging through radio and other local media, supported by community-driven monitoring systems able to empower consumers to act as partners in protecting the medicine supply chain.

Mr. Mathias Sserwanga (extreme right) of Namulonge HCIII in Wakiso district receiving his certificate from Assoc. Prof. David Musoke (2nd right), following a two-day leadership and management training on November 26, 2025, at Makerere University. The programme by MakSPH and partners has helped enhance the capacity of facility in-charges in Wakiso District to improve health service delivery to the people.
Mr. Mathias Sserwanga (extreme right) of Namulonge HCIII in Wakiso district receiving his certificate from Assoc. Prof. David Musoke (2nd right), following a two-day leadership and management training on November 26, 2025, at Makerere University. The programme by MakSPH and partners has helped enhance the capacity of facility in-charges in Wakiso District to improve health service delivery to the people.

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John Okeya

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