Health
Where Garimoi Orach Built the Field, Komakech Studied Its Exit: Advancing Health Systems Resilience Amid Refugee Arrivals & Repatriation
Published
7 months agoon

On Friday, December 19, 2025, a doctoral defence at Makerere University School of Public Health (MakSPH) made visible how knowledge transcends across generations. Dr. Henry Komakech, who first trained at the School for his Master’s in Health Services Research (MHSR) between 2008 and 2010 and has served as a Research Associate in the Department of Community Health and Behavioural Sciences (CHBS) since 2014, defended his PhD titled Effects of the Repatriation of Refugees on the Health Services of the Host Populations in the West Nile Districts of Arua, Moyo, and Adjumani. The thesis examined what happens after refugees begin to return home and humanitarian partners withdraw, leaving district health systems to absorb the transition.
Just over two months later, on February 25, 2026, MakSPH took its place in the 76th Congregation of Makerere University at Freedom Square, presenting 231 graduands. The four-day ceremony, held from February 24 to 27, saw the University confer degrees and diplomas on 9,295 graduands across nine colleges and two schools, including 213 PhDs. Of the seven doctoral degrees presented by MakSPH, four came from the Department of Community Health and Behavioural Sciences, where Komakech’s work was supervised and examined. The defence in December had tested the scholarship; the congregation in February formally admitted it into the University’s record.

The scholarship itself engaged a structural public health question shaped by Uganda’s refugee experience. By mid-2025, the United Nations High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) estimated that 117.3 million people were forcibly displaced worldwide due to conflict, persecution, or violence. Of these, 42.5 million were refugees, 67.8 million internally displaced persons, and 8.4 million asylum seekers, with 87 per cent of refugees hosted in low- and middle-income countries, including Uganda.
The country today remains one of the key actors responding to this humanitarian crisis, hosting close to two million refugees and asylum seekers and implementing one of the world’s most progressive refugee policies, which integrates displaced populations into national systems of service delivery under the Refugees Act of 2006 and the Refugees Regulations of 2010.

According to UNHCR, refugee repatriation is the return of refugees to their country of origin, ideally voluntarily, safely, and with dignity when conditions allow. It is one of the most preferred and recognised durable solutions to displacement, alongside local integration in the host country and resettlement to a third country, and is typically organised through tripartite agreements between the country of origin, the host country, and the UN refugee agency.
Yet when repatriation occurs, and sometimes this happens rapidly, numbers in host areas decline, affecting financing, staffing, drug supply, infrastructure, and district planning. In this case, repatriation, as Komakech investigates it, is therefore not simply demographic change due to sudden withdrawal but a health systems transition with governance and fiscal consequences.

“This work emerged from observations I made during earlier studies in Northern Uganda, a region that has hosted large refugee populations for many years,” Komakech observed.
He added, “I noticed that the presence of refugees had varied effects on health services, affecting both refugee and host communities. Yet despite this reality, there was limited research examining how health systems function during periods of transition, particularly as refugee populations move in and out of host districts. This raised an important question: Do districts and aid agencies design health services in ways that can accommodate both incoming and outgoing refugee populations, and what does this mean for service delivery for everyone involved? That question ultimately shaped my study.”
Komakech holds that repatriation matters in humanitarian action and public health emergencies because it offers closure for displaced populations while allowing host countries to reorganise health and social systems as displacement pressures change.
The question that shaped his doctoral research did not emerge in isolation, though. It developed within a field built over decades by Prof. Christopher Garimoi Orach, Professor of Community Health at Makerere University and Komakech’s principal supervisor, an author of more than 100 peer-reviewed publications in high-impact journals whose work has anchored refugee health and public health in complex emergencies within Uganda’s academic and policy landscape while also contributing to global scholarship in the field.
If Komakech examined what happens when humanitarian support withdraws, Orach’s earlier scholarship focused on how health systems respond when displacement arrives. The progression reflects an intellectual continuity grounded in history.

“My work has enabled me to mentor many graduate students in disaster risk reduction and refugee health. About ten PhDs have completed under my supervision in this area,” Prof. Orach said, speaking with the benefit of hindsight after decades of academic mentorship and leadership at MakSPH. “Dr. Komakech’s work is extremely unique. His study examines how repatriation affects health systems in hosting districts, a question rarely studied at this depth, especially at PhD level.”
Uganda’s integrated refugee policy makes the study even more important. Unlike the parallel model, where refugee services operate separately from national systems, Uganda uses an integrated model where refugees and host populations share health services. Therefore, when refugees leave, the health system itself experiences a transition. His findings show the need for preparedness and sustainability planning, since humanitarian funding declines when refugee numbers decrease, Prof. Orach argued.
The field before the student

Orach’s entry into refugee health was not theoretical. After earning his Bachelor of Medicine and Bachelor of Surgery from Makerere University in 1988, he completed his internship at St. Francis Hospital, Nsambya, before being posted to West Nile as a Medical Officer at Maracha Hospital in Arua District in 1989. By 1990, he had become Medical Superintendent of the same hospital, serving in a region shaped by displacement from South Sudan and northern Uganda. Decades later, it would be the same West Nile districts where Komakech conducted his doctoral research.
In that environment, displacement was not a policy concept but a clinical reality. Hospital registers reflected migration patterns. Drug shortages, referral pressures, and fluctuating patient volumes were part of daily management. Refugee health was not yet an academic specialisation, Orach recalls. It was a lived service delivery, observed through overcrowded wards, strained supply chains, and district health systems adjusting in real time to population movements.

Those experiences gradually shifted his attention toward population health. Orach returned to Makerere University for postgraduate training in public health, completing the Diploma in Public Health in 1994, with the programme culminating in the Master of Medicine in Public Health in 1996. His master’s research examined maternal mortality in Gulu District using the Sisterhood methodology, a community-based study that earned him the Community Health Research Award from the World Health Organisation (WHO) Regional Office for Africa in 1997.
The recognition marked an early indication of the policy relevance of Prof. Garimoi Orach’s work. During this period, he also undertook specialised training in refugee studies at Oxford University in 1996 and later in large-scale emergency health response through the International Committee of the Red Cross (ICRC)–WHO Health Emergencies in Large Populations programme in 1997. The academic trajectory was beginning to align with what he had already encountered in practice in West Nile.
In 1999, after completing his master’s training, he intended to return to district service from where it all began. A senior academic intervened. “Professor Gilbert Bukenya asked me where I intended to work,” Orach recalls. “I told him I wanted to return to the district. He said, ‘Chris, you are not going anywhere. You will stay here at the university.’” That decision redirected his career toward academic public health. Between 1996 and 2002, he served as a Research Fellow at MakSPH, at the time called the Institute of Public Health (IPH), combining teaching, research, and field engagement.

International collaboration soon expanded the scope of Orach’s work. Through a European Union–supported partnership linking Makerere University, Oxford University, the Institute of Tropical Medicine in Antwerp, and Moi University in Kenya, he deepened research into refugee welfare policy and emergency public health systems. The collaboration also opened further academic pathways. He pursued additional training at the Institute of Tropical Medicine in Antwerp, completing a second Master of Public Health in 2000, before later earning a PhD in Public Health from Vrije Universiteit Brussel in 2006.
His doctoral research examined reproductive health services for refugee and host populations in Uganda and the policy implications of integrating those services within national health systems. The work, published in The Lancet, which is one of the world’s oldest and most prestigious peer-reviewed general medical journals, informed policy reforms on refugee health at a time when Uganda was strengthening its legal and institutional framework for refugee protection, culminating in the Refugees Act of 2006 and the Refugees Regulations of 2010. Decades later, Komakech would revisit the same policy landscape from another angle, examining what happens to those integrated health systems when refugee populations begin to leave host districts, and humanitarian support recedes.
Orach’s academic career at Makerere subsequently progressed through successive ranks from being appointed Assistant Lecturer in 2003, Lecturer in 2006, Senior Lecturer in 2009, Associate Professor in 2012, and a full Professor of Public Health in 2015. Alongside teaching and research, he also served diligently as Head of the Department of Community Health and Behavioural Sciences from 2010 to 2019 and as Deputy Dean of the School of Public Health from 2012 to 2020. Over these years, he supervised postgraduate scholars and helped consolidate refugee health and public health in complex emergencies into an institutionalised field of teaching and research.

Emergency response gradually became a curriculum. What began as field-informed training, including a short course in Public Health in Complex Emergencies (PHCE) that started in 1999, evolved into formal postgraduate programmes.
In 2014, the School established the Master of Public Health in Disaster Management, drawing on earlier emergency health initiatives and international collaborations. Refugee health systems, disaster preparedness, and post-disaster recovery had entered formal academic training within the institution. By the time Komakech embarked on his doctoral study three years later in 2017, the intellectual infrastructure for the questions he was asking had already been built, with the strong contribution to the field by front-runners like Orach. The scholar who would later examine the system at its point of transition had also grown within that very environment.
“Dr. Komakech’s journey mirrors mine. During my PhD, my supervisor’s illness delayed my completion. In his case, he suffered a severe road traffic accident that required multiple surgeries and interrupted his doctoral studies for several years,” Prof. Orach said, reflecting on the life-threatening accident that forced his student to withdraw from the programme before returning to defend his thesis in December 2025. “Despite this, he continued publishing and remained academically active. When he submitted his thesis draft, its quality surprised us greatly. His perseverance demonstrates true resilience, an essential quality in doctoral training.”

The student within the field
Komakech’s formation shows a long relationship with Makerere University and with the public health questions that would later shape his doctoral work. He first trained at Makerere’s Faculty of Social Sciences, earning a Bachelor of Arts in Social Sciences in 2005 before entering development and humanitarian work. Between 2006 and 2008, he worked with CARE International and the Charity for Peace Foundation, supporting communities affected by displacement and gender-based violence.
The work exposed him to the social and institutional pressures that accompany conflict and forced migration. Seeking stronger analytical tools to understand how health and social systems respond to those pressures, he later enrolled at Makerere University School of Public Health, completing a Master of Health Services Research in 2010.

It was during this period that Komakech first met Prof. Garimoi Orach, beginning an academic relationship that would later shape his doctoral journey. Over more than a decade at the School now, he has served as a Research Associate, contributing to teaching, supervision, and the design and implementation of health systems research.
His work has spanned disaster resilience, refugee integration into national health systems, and the governance of health services in fragile settings, combining field research, project coordination, policy engagement, and academic publication. The doctoral study he defended in 2025 built directly on this sustained engagement with displacement, humanitarian response, and the capacity of public systems to adapt to changing pressures.

The question that emerges when people leave
Komakech’s doctoral study examined the large-scale repatriation of South Sudanese refugees between 2006 and 2009 in the West Nile districts of Arua, Moyo, and Adjumani. Conducted between 2017 and 2019, the research used a mixed-methods design to analyse how district health systems adjust when refugee populations begin to decline.
The study investigated three related questions of how the repatriation process unfolded in the districts, how health services were reorganised once refugees left, and whether those services remained sustainable after humanitarian actors scaled down operations. Evidence was drawn from policy and programme documents alongside 81 key informant interviews with government officials, district health managers, humanitarian agencies, and community stakeholders.

The results from the study confirm that the repatriation process itself within the areas was highly structured and collaborative. In this process, national and district governments worked with UN agencies, humanitarian organisations, and refugee communities to organise voluntary return. Information campaigns, confidence-building visits to areas of origin, health screening, and reintegration support helped prepare refugees for departure and reduce uncertainty about conditions back home. Through this coordinated system, nearly 95,000 South Sudanese refugees were repatriated from settlements across the West Nile districts between 2005 and 2009.
The departure of refugees, however, was found to reshape local health systems within host communities. Dr. Komakech’s thesis reports that during periods of influx, humanitarian agencies expanded district capacity by providing essential medicines, health workers, infrastructure, and logistical support. Once repatriation began and aid organisations withdrew, district health teams assumed responsibility for facilities and services previously supported by humanitarian partners.
Although Uganda’s integrated refugee policy enables these services to be absorbed into the national health system, the study reports, districts often face persistent shortages of medicines, personnel, and operational funding. Many facilities established for emergency response were found to remain in place but lacked sustainable financing for routine service delivery.

In earnest, the study characterises repatriation as a health systems shock, affecting governance, financing, and service sustainability. Its author cogently states that humanitarian resources tend to decline rapidly when refugee numbers fall, while government allocations adjust more slowly through national budget cycles. Consequently, he notes, district health systems in the areas inherit expanded responsibilities without equivalent continuity of resources;
“Districts do not experience relief when NGOs leave,” Komakech explained. “They transition from supported service delivery to unfunded responsibility.” The research also reveals variation across districts. In Arua, earlier integration of partner-supported services into district structures helped cushion the transition, suggesting that governance choices and early planning indeed influence how systems absorb the shift from humanitarian response to routine service delivery.
The evidence in his study points to the need to treat repatriation as a planned health systems transition rather than a simple population movement. Dr. Komakech, in his recommendations, calls for humanitarian agencies to align exit strategies with district health planning, urges the government to integrate refugee-supported services into national systems early, and highlights the need for sustained investment by both government and development partners to ensure that district health services remain functional as humanitarian support declines.
For his mentor and principal supervisor, Prof. Orach, the study confirms Komakech’s growing authority in the field, following his graduation with a PhD in Public Health from Makerere University on February 25, 2026.
“I now consider Dr. Komakech a health systems expert in refugee health. Having worked in this field for nearly a decade now, he is well-positioned to advance research on health systems in emergency settings. His work demonstrates how governments, NGOs, and communities can collaborate to sustain healthcare during repatriation. He is an important asset to the university and will likely be sought after by humanitarian organisations. I hope he remains in academia to continue advancing this developing field.”
Mentorship and the reproduction of scholarship

Mentorship was at the heart of the bond between Prof. Orach and Dr. Komakech, built on trust, mutual respect, and a shared commitment to advancing public health scholarship and research at Makerere University School of Public Health. For Orach, supervising a PhD was never only about research guidance; it meant nurturing a scholar, shaping independent thinking, and opening paths for leadership in the field.
“My mentorship philosophy is simple,” Orach explained. “I see students as future scholars who should surpass me. I guide them toward unexplored areas where they can lead. Knowledge must be shared openly, and students should always have direct access to their mentors. Silence concerns me. Active engagement is essential.”
The philosophy prioritises intellectual independence. Rather than directing students toward his own research agenda, Prof. Orach encourages them to pursue critical questions that expand the boundaries of public health scholarship. Dr. Henry Komakech’s own doctoral work exemplified this approach. “Prof. Orach played a critical role throughout my PhD journey, offering guidance beyond academics, shaping study design, methodological rigour, theoretical grounding, and policy relevance. His mentorship helped me navigate difficult phases of fieldwork, analysis, and writing while encouraging independence and critical thinking,” Komakech reflected.

Mentorship remains a cornerstone of MakSPH’s scholarly culture, reflected in the Department of Community Health and Behavioural Sciences, chaired by Assoc. Prof. Christine Nalwadda, since March 2020 Dr. Nalwadda praised Komakech’s contribution to advancing the School’s mission, noting: “As a School, we are proud of the work of our scholars and the impact it has on the University and the communities we serve. Dr. Komakech’s research addresses a matter of national and regional importance. Uganda hosts nearly two million refugees, the largest refugee population in Africa, and understanding how health systems adjust when populations move is critical. His work provides vital evidence to guide planning and ensure health services remain responsive during these transitions.”
She said her department now has 12 faculty members, 11 holding doctoral degrees, with the remaining colleague progressing through their doctoral training. This concentration of expertise reflects a culture where mentorship and scholarly development are central. Within this environment, the mentor-student relationship between Orach and Komakech represents more than individual achievement. Orach’s scholarship established refugee health and public health in complex emergencies as an institutionalised area of study at the School, and Komakech’s research extends this trajectory, examining how health systems endure once humanitarian intensity declines.
Looking ahead, Dr. Henry Komakech wants to consolidate this emerging field, mentor younger scholars, and ensure research evidence informs policy and practice for refugee and displaced populations. For Prof. Christopher Garimoi Orach, this progression represents the deeper purpose of doctoral training. “Public health must lead in fragile and humanitarian settings,” he asserts. “We must train highly skilled professionals like Komakech in disaster and humanitarian response who can operate within strong governance and funding structures. My greatest satisfaction is producing more PhDs equipped to lead in these contexts. I am confident our efforts are bearing fruit, though much work remains.”

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Makerere University’s School of Public Health (MakSPH) showcased research, training and international partnerships supported through European Union funding during the EU Uganda Research and Study Fair 2026 held at Makerere University.
The fair brought together students, researchers, academics, government representatives and development partners to explore opportunities in education, research, innovation and international collaboration, while celebrating 50 years of partnership between Uganda and the European Union.
Through its exhibition, MakSPH highlighted research and capacity building initiatives addressing public health challenges including infectious diseases, non communicable diseases, health systems, climate change and pandemic preparedness.
18 EU funded projects supported at MakSPH
Prof. Rhoda Wanyenze, Dean of Students, School of Public Health, said the School has benefited from 18 EU funded projects over the past five years, supporting research and training across several areas of public health.

She said the projects have contributed to the training of PhD researchers and the development of research addressing infectious diseases and prevention, non communicable diseases, health systems, climate change and health.
Prof. Wanyenze also highlighted a new five year programme which started in 2021 that is aiming at strengthening capacity for research on pandemic preparedness and response, including outbreaks such as Ebola.

Another programme being undertaken with the Ministry of Health and Karolinska Institute focuses on improving maternal health while also addressing adolescent pregnancy and the health of mothers and children.
She described partnerships as critical to advancing science and innovation, noting that collaboration allows researchers in Africa and Europe to share knowledge and strengthen the impact of research on communities.
Research partnerships strengthen innovation
Prof. Robert Wamala, Director of the Directorate of Research, Innovation and Partnerships at Makerere University, said the exhibition provided an opportunity to showcase EU funded projects across the University.
He noted that the School of Public Health alone has more than 18 such projects, while other colleges also have several EU supported initiatives.

One of the projects showcased was PREPARE TID, a partnership aimed at developing rapid diagnostic technologies for emerging and re emerging infectious diseases.
Prof. Julius Okuni, Associate Professor of Veterinary Pathobiology and Molecular Diagnostics at Makerere University, said the project brings together universities, industries and other organisations from Africa and Europe.
The project is working to develop technologies that can quickly identify pathogens responsible for outbreaks such as Ebola, Rift Valley fever and Crimean Congo haemorrhagic fever.
According to Prof. Okuni, Makerere is involved in field and laboratory work to test and refine the technologies before they can be delivered to end users.
Fair provides platform for research visibility
For researchers at MakSPH, the fair also provided an opportunity to increase the visibility of ongoing research and create new connections with researchers, policymakers and potential funders.
Dr. Raymond Tweheyo, Honorary Lecturer and Senior Research Fellow in the Department of Health Policy, Planning and Management, said such exhibitions allow researchers to share their work and identify others working on related challenges.

He cited the CONNECT for Health project, which focuses on transforming non-communicable disease care in Uganda through collaboration with partners across several countries.
Dr. Tweheyo said exhibitions can help researchers connect with policymakers, civil society organisations and other partners who can contribute to translating research into practical solutions.
Assoc. Prof. Angelina Kakooza Mwesigye, Associate Professor and Child Neurologist at Makerere University College of Health Sciences, also emphasised the importance of exposing young people to international research opportunities.
She said the long standing Uganda Europe partnership provides opportunities for the next generation of researchers to learn, build networks and prepare for future research collaborations.
The School of Public Health’s participation highlighted the role of international partnerships in strengthening research capacity, supporting innovation and developing evidence based responses to Uganda’s public health challenges.
Health
Uganda’s Outbreak Experience Points to Strong Response Systems but Persistent Detection Gaps
Published
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October 6, 2026
Uganda has strengthened its ability to respond rapidly to Ebola and Marburg outbreaks once cases are confirmed, but delays in frontline detection, health worker exposure, emergency financing bottlenecks and incomplete implementation of lessons from previous outbreaks continue to undermine preparedness, a study has found.
The findings were presented today, October 6, 2026, during a country validation workshop convened by the Meeting Targets and Maintaining Epidemic Control (EPiC) project, to examine lessons from Uganda’s response to filovirus disease outbreaks. The study was undertaken by Makerere University School of Public Health and FHI 360.
Presented by Dr. Steven Kabwama, the synthesis examined Uganda’s experience with recurrent Ebola virus disease (EVD) and Marburg virus disease (MVD) outbreaks between 2000 and 2026, drawing particularly on After-Action Reviews from the 2017 Marburg outbreak and the 2019, 2022 and 2025 Ebola outbreaks. The work seeks to consolidate recurring strengths, weaknesses, innovations and lessons that had previously been documented separately.

Uganda has recorded 12 filovirus outbreaks over the 26-year period, including nine Ebola and three Marburg outbreaks, according to the research team. Among the four outbreaks examined closely were the 2017 Marburg outbreak in Kween and Kapchorwa, the cross-border Ebola outbreak in Kasese in 2019, the multi-district Sudan Ebola virus outbreak in 2022, and the 2025 outbreak whose index case was a health worker.
Strong systems after confirmation
Across the outbreaks reviewed, the synthesis found that Uganda has developed significant capacity to mobilise after laboratory confirmation. National and district task forces and technical response structures are activated quickly, supported by strong laboratory capacity, established coordination mechanisms and increasingly sophisticated surveillance systems.
The country has also built laboratory capacity around the Uganda Virus Research Institute, mobile laboratories, genomic sequencing, sample referral systems and the Results Dispatch System. Digital surveillance tools, Village Health Teams, survivor champions and established national and district coordination structures have further strengthened response capacity.
Detection remains a weak point
However, the findings point to a critical problem before confirmation: recognising a possible outbreak early enough.
For outbreaks originating within Uganda, the synthesis found that the period between a patient’s first presentation and confirmation ranged from nine to 27 days. This the study found is linked to low clinical suspicion and weaknesses in screening. Other recurring challenges included delayed access to emergency financing, infections among health workers, disruptions to essential health services, community mistrust and stigma, and limited follow-through on recommendations from previous After-Action Reviews.
Opening the workshop, the Dean, Prof. Rhoda Wanyenze, said understanding these delays requires going beyond identifying broad weaknesses to examining where response systems fail in practice.
“We can identify a broad challenge such as delayed detection from the literature, but your experience on the ground can help us understand the specific factors that create that challenge,” Prof. Wanyenze said while addressing district health officials from across the country.

“When we begin looking for solutions, we need to be able to target the actual problems rather than simply identifying broad challenges.”
The workshop brought together partners and colleagues from districts, including people directly involved in outbreak response, to validate the synthesis against frontline experience. Prof. Wanyenze noted that published literature, scientific papers and response reports cannot capture every operational reality, making practitioner experience essential to understanding where delays occur and what interventions have worked. Remarks validation workshop
Turning outbreak experience into continuous readiness
Among the priority actions proposed are stronger screening and alert systems for earlier detection; ring-fenced emergency financing and more reliable responder payment systems; routine infection prevention and control training; stronger occupational protection for health workers; continued investment in laboratories and genomic sequencing; and preparedness extending beyond districts traditionally considered outbreak hotspots. The study also recommends stronger community engagement and a formal mechanism to track and finance implementation of recommendations from After-Action Reviews.

Dr. Andrew Acero, Director of the EPiC project at FHI 360’s Uganda Office said the central challenge is ensuring that experience accumulated during successive outbreaks translates into lasting institutional capacity.
“The real value lies in ensuring that what we learn changes what we do. Our findings should inform policy, shape guidelines and training, strengthen systems and ultimately improve practice.”
He noted that preparedness cannot begin only after an emergency has been declared, but must be built through sustained relationships, systems and capacity before outbreaks occur. Remarks validation workshop
The EPiC project is led by FHI 360 with core partners including Right to Care, Palladium and Population Services International.
Health
Uganda’s HIV Treatment Gains Bring the Youth Gap into Focus
Published
6 days agoon
October 5, 2026
Uganda’s latest national HIV survey reveals lower viral suppression among adolescents and young adults living with HIV than among older adults, even as the country records substantial improvements in controlling the virus. The findings come from Uganda Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment (UPHIA 2025), a national household survey examining HIV prevalence and whether people living with the virus know their status, receive treatment, and achieve viral suppression.
Releasing the preliminary UPHIA 2025 findings at the Uganda Media Centre on 1 October 2026, Minister of Health Hon. Dr. Chris Baryomunsi called for earlier prevention and testing, particularly among adolescent girls and young women, alongside support for treatment adherence. “We must reach out to the young people, ensure that they have information, they test, take treatment, and adhere to the treatment guidance,” he urged.
Hon. Baryomunsi recalled how fear had discouraged testing during his university years: “I remember when we were at university, we went for testing at the university hospital. We sat there for three hours. Some of us left without even testing because it was scary.” Today, he explained, “even if you test HIV positive, you can be initiated on treatment, and you live normally like the rest of those who don’t have HIV.”

UPHIA 2025 was locally led under the Ministry of Health’s overall leadership, with Makerere University School of Public Health serving as the prime implementer, a role ICAP at Columbia University held in the previous two surveys. The Uganda Bureau of Statistics led sampling, while the Uganda Virus Research Institute and National Health Laboratory and Diagnostic Services led laboratory operations. Regional referral hospitals and local governments supported implementation, and the U.S. government provided US$10 million through PEPFAR, along with technical assistance from the U.S. CDC.
UPHIA collected data from July to September 2025 among people aged 15 and above, including those outside routine treatment services. Of 6,283 eligible households, 94.4% completed interviews. Researchers interviewed 13,801 people and tested 13,477 for HIV.
Testing followed Uganda’s national algorithm, with laboratory confirmation of positive samples, viral-load measurement, and checks for antiretroviral medicines to establish treatment use. Researchers weighted the estimates to account for the sampling design. Participants received counselling and results, and those who tested positive were referred for treatment.
Hon. Baryomunsi thanked participants and their families for welcoming survey staff and contributing their time, information and samples, without which the national evidence would not have been available.

National progress and the youth gap
The survey estimated HIV prevalence, which means the proportion of people living with HIV, at 5.9% among those aged 15 and above, corresponding to about 1.496 million people in this age group nationwide. Prevalence was 7.3% among women and 4.1% among men, ranging from 1.3% in Karamoja to 8% in the South Western region.
Among people aged 15 and above living with HIV, 86% had achieved viral suppression, meaning a low amount of HIV in the blood, measured in UPHIA as fewer than 1,000 copies per millilitre. Suppression stood at 69.3% among adolescents and young adults aged 15–24 living with HIV, compared with 89.9% among those aged 50 and above. These estimates cover people living with HIV regardless of whether they know their status or receive treatment.

HIV prevalence among people aged 15–24 was 1.5%, including 2% among young women and 1% among young men. Among young women, prevalence was 1.3% at ages 15–19 and 2.8% at ages 20–24. These differences support attention to earlier prevention and testing, although they do not establish when infections occurred.
The highest prevalence estimates occurred among middle-aged adults: 15.7% among women aged 40–44 and 11.7% among men aged 45–49. Lower suppression among young people therefore requires attention alongside the higher HIV prevalence among middle-aged adults. Comparing the same age group across both surveys, viral suppression among people aged 15–64 increased from 74.9% in 2020–21 to 86.1% in 2025, while HIV prevalence remained at 5.9%.

Diagnosis and the path to 2030
The treatment results identify diagnosis as the main national gap. Among people aged 15 and above living with HIV, 85.3% knew their status. Of those aware, 99.1% were receiving treatment; among those receiving treatment, 96.5% had achieved suppression.
The 95-95-95 targets aimed for 95% of people living with HIV to know their status, 95% of those diagnosed to receive treatment, and 95% of those receiving treatment to achieve viral suppression by 2025. Among people aged 15 and above, Uganda exceeded the treatment and suppression targets, while diagnosis remained below target. UNAIDS’s Global AIDS Strategy 2026–2031 retains these targets towards ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030.
According to WHO, viral suppression protects health and helps prevent HIV transmission. Uncontrolled HIV weakens the immune system, increasing the risk of serious illness. With continued treatment as prescribed, sexual transmission risk is negligible when HIV remains suppressed but detectable, and zero when undetectable. The Uganda AIDS Commission estimated over 34,000 new HIV infections in 2025, underscoring the importance of early diagnosis, timely treatment, and sustained suppression alongside other prevention measures.

The demographic stakes are substantial. People aged 15–24 constituted 21.2% of Uganda’s population in the 2024 census. The country’s Fourth National Development Plan, covering 2025–2030, prioritises a healthy, knowledgeable, skilled and productive population and reducing HIV through primary health care. Protecting young people’s health, therefore, supports their participation in education, work, and national development; UPHIA helps identify where services need greater attention.
Turning evidence into action
The study’s conclusions identify three priorities: sustain treatment outcomes, find people unaware of their status, and improve suppression among younger people. Permanent Secretary Dr. Diana Atwine connected the findings to the Ministry’s planning.
“We do believe that these results are a true reflection of what is happening in our country as far as the HIV status is concerned, and we do believe that it will give us a very clear direction and the roadmap that we are going to take in the next five years to target and to get our targets achieved.”

Acting on these priorities requires funding for services and research. Hon. Baryomunsi outlined plans to target resources where needs are greatest, strengthen district services and align partner support with government priorities. Responding to journalists’ questions, he noted the government’s intention to increase domestic funding for the HIV response, including research.
“The HIV/AIDS response, including research and surveys such as this one, has largely been funded by partners in the past. The government of Uganda is committed to allocating more resources from our domestic budget to support the response and research,” he noted.
For the first time in the UPHIA series, the survey assessed selected noncommunicable disease indicators among people aged 15 and above: 15.5% had elevated blood pressure, 24.8% were overweight or obese, and 0.9% had raised random blood glucose. These screening findings align with the Ministry’s integration agenda and Hon. Baryomunsi’s call to bring HIV and chronic care services together to address people’s wider health needs.
Speaking at the release of the preliminary results, U.S. Embassy Chargé d’Affaires Mikael (Mika) Cleverley described UPHIA 2025 as the first Population-Based HIV Impact Assessment worldwide fully led and implemented by the country itself.

“The study was led by Ugandan scientists, Ugandan managers, Ugandan public servants, Ugandan field teams, from design to data collection to analysis. And this is what two decades of focused strategic U.S. foreign investments in the public health sector was meant to produce, is to reinforce Ugandan leadership and Ugandan-led efforts.”
At the survey launch on 29 May 2025, MakSPH Dean Prof. Rhoda Wanyenze highlighted the partnership’s contribution: “The partnership between Makerere University and CDC has not only helped build national capacity in surveillance and epidemiology, but has also strengthened our ability to lead high-quality, large-scale national surveys.”

The Dean added: “After two decades of joint work, we are proud that UPHIA is now a fully Ugandan-led effort. This is critical to the sustainability of the skills and knowledge generation to inform our local response.”
UPHIA 2025 shows how far Uganda’s HIV response has advanced and where gaps remain. As the country works towards ending AIDS as a public health threat by 2030, reaching young people with testing, treatment, and continued care will be essential to extending those gains.

Read the full UPHIA 2025 summary results here:
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